Pakistan Export Earnings -Analysis 2009 -2011

Ehtesham Hussain, Masoodul Haq


Statistical year books have published the data on export revenue in dollars earned for each item for 2009 to 2011. In all 48 items have been recorded, which include Agricultural as well as manufactured items. Some items, which are mostly Agricultural earn a significantly large amount of earnings compared to the non-agricultural items. However the number of items of non-agricultural items is quite large. Some manufactured items which have an important position as export item are the petroleum products.

In this paper a probability model has been developed, called the Exponential and in order to asses the variation in export earnings a Lorenz curve is calculated .From it the Gini Index is obtained. The variability in earnings is measured by Gini Index and forecast in this variation has been made .The items which have small variation from the ideal variation are selected,which are : Rice , Cotton ,Cotton added value items

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