Learning from Experience in Context of Climate Prediction in Pakistan using Data Mining Techniques Avidence from Computer Research n Pakistan

Saadia Karim

Abstract


The purpose of this paper is to analyze the climate changes in Pakistan, identify issues related to weather disasters and to revisit weather prediction approaches. The proposed approach is based on different algorithms and their comparisons with reference to past 5years (2010 - 2015) data on 12 attributes. A flow diagram is given that identifies steps included in the process. Results are obtained using WEKA 3.7.13 (latest version 2015). The KNN algorithm and memory-based reasoning algorithm shows the accuracy of predicting weather forecasts. The BPANN algorithm is used to analyze the data set along with KNN and memory-based reasoning algorithms. Decision tree shows the accuracy of predicting weather forecasts. The KNN is used with Bayesian approach in this research. Attributes used in this research shows significant relationship while many of those work as independent variables. Since, for weather prediction these attributes are very important, we used variant factors based on time and date. The KNN algorithm using Bayesian classifier provides accurate results compare with memory-based reasoning of Decision Tree and BPANN trainlm and trainbr.


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References


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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.22555/pjets.v6i1.1145

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Chief Editor

Prof. Dr. Ejaz Ahmed 
Dean
College of Computer Science & Information Systems

Editor

Prof Dr. S. M. Aqil Burney

Associate Editors

Prof. Dr. Tariq Rahim Soomro
Dr. Muhammad Mansoor Aalam

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Konpal Darakshan

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Dr. Syed Irfan Hyder
Dr. Mohammad Irshad Khan
Dr. Shahid Amjad
Dr. Abdul Rauf Farooqui
Dr. Syed Iftikhar Ali
Dr. Tajuddin Islamuddin
Dr. Muhammad Danish Khan
Dr. Imran Majid
Dr. Fatima Riaz
Dr. Zeeshan Shahid
Ms. Seema Ansari

Editorial Advisory Board (International)

Prof. Dr. Mazliham Mohd Su'ud, President, Universiti Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Prof. Dr. Ghassan Al-Qaimari, President, Emirates College of Technology, Abu Dhabi, UAE
Prof. Dr. Patrice Boursier, Universite de La Rochelle, La Rochelle, France
Prof. Dr. Mudassir Uddin, Professor, University of Karachi, Pakistan
Dr. Nadeem Doudpota, Associate Professor, Al-Baha University, KSA
Dr. Haithem Abdelrazaq Almefleh, Associate Professor, Yarmouk University, Yarmouk, Jordan
Dr. Saiful Islam Ansari, Assistant Professor, University of Tabuk, Saudi Arabia

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Dr. Asadaullah Shah, Professor, International Islamic University, MalaysiaDr. Hasan Wahba, President American College of Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
Dr. Tahseen Jilani, Assistant Professor, University of Manchester, UKDr. Atif Memon, Associate Professor, The University of Maryland, USA
Dr. Syed Waliullah Shah, University Sains, MalaysiaDr. Inayatullah Shah, International Islamic University, (Kuantam), Malaysia
Dr. Salahttin Kuru, Kemeburgaz University, TurkeyDr. Soon Min, INTI International University, Malaysia
Dr. Shahrulniza Musa, Professor, Malaysian France Institute, Universiti Kuala Lumpur, Bandar Baru Bangi, MalaysiaDr. R. Praveen Sam, Professor, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, G. Pulla Reddy Engineering College, KURNOOL, India
Dr. Manzoor Ahmed Hashmani, Associate Professor, University Technology Petronas, MalaysiaDr. Alveera Mehdi, Professor, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh, India

Dr. Sajjad Waheed, Professor, Department of Information and Communication Technology, Mawlana Bhashani Science and Technology University, Tangail 1902, Bangladesh

Dr. Kushairy Bin Abdul Kadir, Associate Professor, British Malaysian Institute, Universiti Kuala Lumpur, Gombak, Malaysia
Dr. Mohammad Hameed Ahmed AlTaei, Assistant Professor, Applied Sciences College, Sohar, OmanDr. Eiad Yafi, Associate Professor, Malaysian Institute of Information Technology Universiti, Malaysia
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Dr. Aymen Adil Belghith, Assistant Professor, University of Sfax, Sfax,TunisiaDr. Radwan Alsadiq Alqirmazi, Assistant Professor, University of Sfax, Sfax,Tunisia
Dr. Mohammad Arif Amin, Assistant Professor, Higher College of Technology, Abu Dhabi Men’s College, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE)Dr. Ismat Aldmour, Assistant Professor, Al-Baha University, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA)
Dr. AbdulRahman Ahmed Mohammed Al-Sewari, Senior Lecturer, Universiti Malaysia Pahang, Pahang, MalaysiaDr. Mohammed A. Afifi, Director, Associate of Science in Computer Science, Al Dar University College, Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
Dr. Youssef Ahmed Masmoudi, Assistant Professor, Saudi Electronic University, Jeddah male Campus, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA)Dr. Zulfiqar Memon, Assistant Professor, Ajman University of Science & Technology, Ajman, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
Dr. Abdul Basit Samsuddin Banga, Assistant Professor, Saudi Electronic University, Jeddah male Campus, Kingdom of S. Arabia (KSA)Dr. Mohamad Ismail Sulaiman, Senior Lecturer, British Malaysian Institute, Universiti Kuala Lumpur, Gombak, Malaysia
Dr. Syed Faiz Ahmed, Senior Lecturer, British Malaysian Institute, Universiti Kuala Lumpur, Gombak, Malaysia

Dr. Jawad Ali Shah, Senior Lecturer, British Malaysian Institute, Universiti Kuala Lumpur, Gombak, Malaysia

Dr. Sarfraz Nawaz Brohi, Lecturer, Taylor’s Unversity, Lakeside Campus, Malaysia

Dr. Fahad Sikander, Assistant Professor, Saudi Electronic University, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA)


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Dr. Abdul Razaque Memon, Director Solution Marketing at Huawei Technology, AustraliaDr. Syed Abbas, Project Director, NetSys Technical Services, Business Bay, Duabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE)
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Dr. Mir Ghulam Hyder Talpur, Professor, University of Sindh, JamshoroDr. Imdad Ismaili, Professor, University of Sindh, Jamshoro
Dr. Syed Asif Ali, Professor, Sindh Maderessah Tul Islam University, KarachiDr. Mukhtiar Ali Unar, Professor, Mehran University of Engineering & Technology (MUET), Jamshoro
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Dr. Talal Shrafat Rehmani, NUST, KarachiLt. Cdr. Dr. Asif Mansoor, NUST, Karachi
Dr. Faisal Maqbool Zahid, Associate Professor, University of Faisalabad 

Member Editorial Review Board (National – Non Academia)

Dr. Amir Khan, Ministry of Defense, Govt. of Pakistan, KarachiDr. Bahrawar Jan, Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, Islamabad